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New York, NY
Joined November 2017
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ETH back > $4k today continuing to hover around all-time-high
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ETH / BTC implied volatility spread is increasing sharply post #bitcoin ETF launch indicating options market is shifting focus towards new catalysts (ETH2)
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Leveraged funds are opening new shorts of CME #bitcoin futures taking advantage of the widening basis
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CME #bitcoin futures open interest is reaching a new all-time-high in $ notional following ETF launch yesterday
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#bitcoin options implied volatility increased over the last month, in particular on the short-term part of the curve
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ETH up 7% today also approaching its all-time-high rapidly, both ETH and #BTC are ~10% off ATH
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#bitcoin options market seems cautiously positioned ahead of ETF catalysts with skew rallying back to positive territory
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#bitcoin futures open interest have been surging since the start of the month
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Options-based probability of #bitcoin ending the month at a new all-time-high (>$65k) = 20.4%
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USDC total market cap is up close to 10x year-to-date, > $30bln
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#bitcoin has been leading the recent rally as market shifts its focus to regulatory reviews of bitcoin ETF applications due later this month
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#bitcoin futures basis is widening ahead of regulatory decision later this month on pending futures-based ETF proposals
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4/6 There seems to be strong buying in $BTC / $ETH ahead of a potential ruling on pending ETF proposals due this month. While it's unclear if these will get approved, this buying is widening the cash futures basis to levels we have not seen in weeks.
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5/6 $ETH and $SOL basis are starting to look attractive especially when you add the staking component which generates additional gross yield.
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6/6 Short term squeezes in $AMPL and $AXS due to token specific economic changes are generating notable short term yields and is something nimble traders may be keeping an eye on. Note: this thread is not investment advice.
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